Project: Risk & Decision Science

Development of bushfire risk scorecards for fire management decision-making

This project, undertaken in partnership with NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service (NPWS), developed a practical scorecard framework to support more transparent and consistent evaluation of ecological, Aboriginal cultural, historical cultural and infrastructural outcomes in fire management. A facilitated expert workshop brought together ecological, Traditional Owner, and fire management knowledge to identify meaningful indicators, define thresholds for assessing ecological condition and risk, and explore how these could be incorporated into operational decision-making. The resulting framework distinguishes between absolute thresholds, where different asset responses can be assessed against clear benchmarks, and condition-dependent thresholds, where interpretation depends on factors such as vegetation condition, fire history, and landscape context. The project provides a foundation for translating complex multi-asset evidence into accessible, defensible tools that can support fire planning, evaluation, and adaptive management.

Project timeline: 10/2025 – 06/2026

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