Project: Future Fires

Climate hazards synthesis (Bushfire)

Every 5 years the Victorian Government delivers a Climate Hazards Synthesis report, with the next one due in 2024. This DEECA-funded project is contributing the bushfire chapter to the Climate Hazards Synthesis report. It aims to summarise the state of knowledge of climate and climate change influences on bushfire risk in Victoria, including observed changes as well as projected changes under global warming.

Project timeline: 09/2023 – 06/2024

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Characterising and managing fire risks to plantations under changing climates

Risk & Decision Science, Future Fires
Changing climates are creating significant fire risks to Australian plantations. Fires are predicted to become more frequent and intense, potentially resulting in increased plantation losses to wildfire. Existing fire simulation models do not ...

Ecosystem resilience prioritisation tool for fuel management planning

Risk & Decision Science
Large-scale bushfires are resulting in long-term negative declines in ecosystem resilience and ecological values across Victoria. The scale, frequency and intensity of these fire events is predicted to increase with future climate change. ...

Understanding the origin and development of extreme and mega bushfires

Fire Behaviour, Landscape Flammability
Extreme and mega fires result in significant damage to property and infrastructure and are associated with large suppression costs. These events occur when separate fires merge. Their increase occurrence in recent seasons highlight the ...
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