Project: Risk & Decision Science

New wildfire risk models

Scientists frequently build statistical models to explain aspects of bushfire risk, such as fire frequency, fire severity and seasonality. However, these models are often developed for specific case study areas and are generally not maintained or evaluated on an ongoing basis. This Melbourne Centre for Data Science-funded project aims to develop a flexible bushfire risk modelling system, capable of dynamically exploring the relationships between wildfire, prescribed fire, vegetation, terrain, landuse and climate. Users will be able to select areas and variables of interest. The system will also have an evaluation capacity, creating predictions based on existing models and comparing these to observations.

Project timeline: 01/2024 – 12/2024

More Projects

Fire risk modelling to support fire management within New South Wales

A comprehensive bushfire risk management framework currently exists in New South Wales (supported by legislation and policy). This framework provides a platform for the development of a Bushfire Risk Management Plan. In recent times there have ...

What makes a good fire simulator?

Fire simulators have become an important tool for tactical and strategic fire management, as well as fire behaviour and risk research. This NHRA-funded project combines social science and natural sciences to understand how fire behaviour ...

Understanding the origin and development of extreme and mega bushfires

Extreme and mega fires result in significant damage to property and infrastructure and are associated with large suppression costs. These events occur when separate fires merge. Their increase occurrence in recent seasons highlight the ...
No results found.